Copy trading: backtest
A wallet's result is not your result. A copier gets in seconds later, at a price the source has already pushed up, and pays fees. See what someone copying this wallet with your rules would have made over the last 30 days.
How we count
- What is copied
- Every position entry of the source (a buy from zero) against SOL in the last 30 days. Add-on buys are not copied. Swaps against USDC and USDT and token-for-token swaps are left out.
- Delay
- The copier sees the price after the source's own trade (its impact on the pool), and over the delay the price keeps moving at the pace of the minute candle the trade fell in. Without a candle only the source's impact counts.
- Pool and slippage
- Nobody archives historic pool reserves, so they are estimated. pump.fun tokens: from the bonding curve (30 SOL and 1.073 bn tokens virtual), after graduation from the PumpSwap pool (about 79 SOL and 206.9 m tokens). Other tokens: today's pool scaled to the price at the time with the x·y=k rule. When the pool is empty today, the trade cannot be modelled. A buy whose slippage exceeds the rule limit fails, and the copier pays only the priority fee.
- Costs
- Terminal fee on each side (rates from /costs), the pool fee (pump.fun and PumpSwap 1.25%, other pools 0.25%) and the priority fee with tip on every transaction.
- Exit
- The source's sells are copied as the same share of the position, also with the delay. TP and SL are checked on minute candles for 8 h after entry, for the 20 newest positions; when one candle hits both, the stop loss counts. Open positions are valued at today's price minus the cost of selling.
- Guards
- Dev or insider: the source bought within 10 s of the first pool. Exit cost: what selling your amount right after entry would cost. Clone: same ticker with less liquidity, or a clone from another chain (the 12 newest tokens, on today's data). Hijacked account: a token from our list of hijacked-account promotions.
- Exit liquidity
- Flagged when in at least 3 positions and 25% of all the source sold within 10 min of buying at a profit, while a copier who copied the sell lost.
An educational tool, not financial advice. A past result says nothing certain about the future.